James Madison Host Troy in Thursday Sun Belt Clash Following Tough Losses
Both teams look to rebound on Thursday night at Bridgeforth Stadium after suffering disappointing conference defeats last week.
The James Madison Dukes will look to bounce back from their first loss of the season when they host the Troy Trojans on Thursday night in a Sun Belt Conference matchup at Bridgeforth Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET, with the game broadcast on ESPN2. Both programs enter the contest seeking a swift recovery after suffering setbacks in Week 8.
James Madison (7-1 overall, 4-1 Sun Belt) saw its undefeated run and College Football Playoff aspirations take a major hit last Thursday in a 34-31 overtime loss to Appalachian State. Despite outgaining the Mountaineers 423-366, the Dukes struggled on third-down conversions, converting just 20 percent of their attempts. After scoring late in regulation to force overtime following a 15-play, 71-yard drive, the Dukes ultimately missed a field goal in the extra period after an 11-yard loss on their first play.
The loss complicated James Madison's path to the expanded 12-team playoff, leaving the Dukes needing a flawless finish and outside help from other contenders like Boise State, UTSA, and New Mexico to boost their resume as a Group of Six representative. However, JMU remains the top offensive unit in the Sun Belt, averaging 456.3 yards and 41.4 points per game, alongside a conference-best defense allowing only 18.3 points per contest.
The Dukes' ground game is heavily anchored by running back George Pettaway, who ranks 13th nationally with 824 rushing yards and eight touchdowns on 124 carries, averaging 6.6 yards per rush. Quarterback play has also remained steady, with Coleman throwing for at least 170 yards in each of the past seven games.
Troy (3-4, 1-2) arrives in Harrisonburg trying to recover from a stunning 21-14 home loss to Louisiana Monroe, a game where the Trojans managed just 200 total yards of offense and 12 first downs. The offense was severely limited as quarterbacks Goose Crowder and Tucker Kilcrease combined to complete only 9 of 18 passes for 47 yards, while the rushing attack averaged 3.3 yards per carry. Crowder has been dealing with a shoulder injury and was listed as questionable heading into recent action.
Despite their offensive struggles against Louisiana Monroe, the Trojans boast one of the conference's better running games, paced by Gavin Griffin with 398 rushing yards and Jordan Lovett with 374 yards. Troy also ranks 45th nationally in defensive success rate, though they face a daunting task against a James Madison squad that won last season's meeting 31-14 at home and the previous matchup 16-14 on the road.
Sportsbooks and prediction markets heavily favor the hosting Dukes, with point spreads sitting at James Madison minus-21 and over-under totals hovering around 50.5 points. While analysts and handicappers are divided on whether the large three-touchdown spread is too wide given Troy's defensive metrics, both teams recognize the high stakes of Thursday night's conference battle as they fight to salvage their respective seasons.
Sources
- James Madison vs. Troy predictions: Best Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS55 for college football Week 9 picks cbssports.com
- James Madison CFP Rooting Guide: 3 Teams That Must Lose to Boost JMU's Playoff Chances sports.yahoo.com
- Troy vs. James Madison Prediction, Odds and Key Players to Watch for College Football Week 9 si.com
- College football prediction: James Madison still good bet vs. Troy reviewjournal.com